Showing posts with label regional business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label regional business. Show all posts

Saturday, 13 April 2013

'Brunei 3rd in Asia's fuel subsidy list' (The Brunei Times)

Published in the April 10, 2013 issue of The Brunei Times
Click here for original story

'Brunei 3rd in Asia's fuel subsidy list'

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

THE fuel subsidy the sultanate gives to its people is among the highest in Asia when considered as a share of its economy, a report from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) shows.A ranking of 11 Asian countries that provide a fuel consumption subsidy in the 2013 Asian Development Outlook puts Brunei third, after Bangladesh and Pakistan.

The fuel subsidies provided by Brunei, which according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) is the biggest net exporter of oil liquids in the Asia Pacific, account for over three per cent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) as of 2010, the report states.

The Oxford Business Group, in its country report on Brunei for 2011, placed the sultanate's GDP in 2010 at $11.846 billion at constant prices.

The country of about 400,000 people offers fuel prices of between 30 cents and 60 cents at the pump.
Statistics from the country's Royal Customs and Excise Department show that Brunei's prices for Super 92 petrol, as of May 2010, were about 22 cents per litre cheaper than in east Malaysia's Limbang, while Premium 97 was about 27 cents per litre cheaper.

The country produced 155,000 barrels of oil a day in January to September 2012 lower than the 166,000 barrels a day it produced in 2011.

Bangladesh, which tops the ADB list, provides subsidies that eat up five per cent of its GDP. Pakistan, meanwhile, provides subsidies translating to more than four per cent of its economy, according to the ADB.

Vietnam and Thailand trail Brunei, with subsidies accounting for around 2.8 per cent of their respective economies.

Placing sixth was Malaysia, which provides subsidies translating to around 2.5 per cent of its GDP.
Former OPEC member Indonesia, which subsidises fuel by as much as 2.5 per cent of its economy, came in seventh.

Other countries in the list were India, where fuel subsidies are estimated to be around 1.5 per cent of its GDP; Sri Lanka, at one per cent; the Philippines, at around 0.6 per cent, and China, at around 0.5 per cent.
Noting that governments impose consumer subsidies to guarantee affordability and protect households from potential shocks of fuel price increases, the ADB nevertheless stressed that the move artificially reduces the price of energy and encourages over consumption.

Simulations done by the bank show a US$0.25 ($0.30) per litre increase in fuel prices causes a 4.5 per cent decline in the real income of households in the Asia Pacific.

"Such subsidies are well-intentioned, or at least popular, but they increase energy consumption, distort energy development planning, and, when applied unevenly, provide incentives for adulteration and illegal cross-border sales," the report states.

It added that while subsidies were meant to help the poor, the less well-off "benefit little" from reduced fuel prices.

"If the intent is to make energy more affordable to the poor, only the poorest 20 percentile should benefit from the subsidy. In fact, the poor in Asia benefit little from subsidised fuel prices because many lack electricity and gas connections, few own vehicles, and most transport sparingly," it said.

Citing a study by the IEA, the ADB noted that in nine Asian countries with the highest fossil fuel subsidies and two countries in Africa, only 15 per cent of the benefit of kerosene subsidies and five per cent of subsides for liquefied petroleum gas went to the poorest 20th percentile.

In the meantime, the amount that the government shoulders "puts pressure on the budget and external account".

The ADB recommends that economies switch from general transfers to targeted subsidies to benefit the poor and reduce over consumption.

"Poor households are identified for benefits like food distribution, education support, and medical treatment. The energy subsidy could be similarly targeted," it said.

"For example, a cash payment scaled for the energy used by a typical energy-poor household, not tied to the households' energy consumption, would extend access without encouraging wasteful use."

It said this system would give beneficiaries an incentive to use less energy and keep the surplus from the payout to fund other needs.

"This achieves the objective of restraining energy use without creating the perverse incentives that so frequently drive energy systems off track.

"Replacing general energy subsidies with subsidies targeting the energy poor can immediately restrain energy demand without denying those in need. It can go a long way towards laying the foundation for Asian energy security," the ADB said. The Brunei Times




'Brunei must diversify economy to avoid Dutch Disease' (The Brunei Times)

This originally appeared on the May 2, 2012 issue of The Brunei Times. Click here for the original article

'Brunei must diversify economy to avoid Dutch Disease'


A file photo of an oil drilling platform off the coast of Brunei. 'Petro-states' like Brunei need to decrease heavy dependence on oil and gas, which could be earmarked for other investments instead, said the World Economic Forum in a paper titled 'New Energy Architecture: Enabling an effective transition'. Picture: Courtesy of Shell
Wednesday, May 2, 2012

PETRO-STATES like Brunei have to look at ways of diversifying their economies, a study conducted by the World Economic Forum (WEF) states.
In the paper "New Energy Architecture: Enabling an effective transition", which was released last month, the WEF said that countries that capitalise on their hydrocarbon resource base depend on oil and gas exports heavily to boost their economies.
This in turn puts a heavy toll on the environment and the economies, it added.
Brunei, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, and Kazakhstan, among others, are categorised by the WEF study as "capitalise" countries, or those with large hydrocarbon reserves and have the energy infrastructure to focus on sustainable ways of harnessing them. Referred to as petro-states, countries under the archetype typically export oil and gas.
"Key opportunities for these countries involve diversification of economies and leveraging experience to enable expansion across the energy value chain," the study states.
It adds that "options with regard to maximising energy sector returns are not necessarily sustainable", and that they must be "carefully considered and executed to ensure co-benefits across government, society and environment".
It notes that these countries often rely on oil and gas exports to generate economic growth and maintain social stability, often taking a heavy toll on their environment and resulting in large fuel subsidies.
These countries, the study states, run the risk of a range of economic problems, including Dutch Disease, where oil exports push up prices and harm other industries.
Heavy focus on oil and gas could also divert capital earmarked for other investments, the study notes, adding that "reform fatigue", where structural economic problems are not tackled due to potential future wealth, may also affect these countries.
"The common challenge for these countries is to ensure that the opportunities for longer term economic development are not lost to economic distortion and ensuring political and social pathologies," the study states.
The WEF study covered 124 countries, which were categorised into four archetypes. Aside from the "capitalise" countries, the other archetypes are: "rationalise" countries, or mature economies, mostly members of the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development, that focus on reorganising their energy architecture to balance the needs of the environment, government and society; "grow" countries, such as China, which are focused on securing energy supply in light of rapid economic growth; and "access" countries, like Cambodia and Bangladesh, which struggle with providing its people with basic energy needs at affordable prices.
The study categorised the countries based on their economic growth and development, including energy intensity or the amount of energy they use to produce a unit of gross domestic product, the cost of energy imports, and a combination of GDP and human development index, among others; environmental sustainability; and energy access.
The study aims to present trends that are common to groups of countries with similar needs and objectives, to enable policy-makers to understand the broader consequences of their actions and the trade-offs they entail. It also presents ways for countries to effectively transition into a "new world energy architecture" according to their archetypes, given the radical shift in the way the world sources, transforms and consumes energy.
Data from the study show that the world will need US$38 trillion worth of investments in energy supply infrastructure between 2011 and 2035.
It also points out that global cost of fossil fuel consumption subsidies will reach US$660 billion in 2020 if reforms are not instituted, from US$409 billion in 2010.
World energy consumption, meanwhile, is expected to grow by 40 per cent between 2009 and 2035. -- Jennee Grace U Rubrico
The Brunei Times




Challenges seen in TPP pact (The Brunei Times)

This was published in the April 21, 2012 issue of The Brunei Times. Click here for the original story

Challenges seen in TPP pact

Saturday, April 21, 2012

NEGOTIATIONS under the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement are rife with challenges and prospects of meeting its objectives are dim, a working paper from the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies states.
The paper, written by Deborah Elms, head of the Temasek Foundation Centre for Trade and Negotiations (TFCTN), highlights difficulties faced by the TPP in meeting its objective of "open market with no exceptions".
The paper, titled 'Getting from Here to There: Stitching Together Goods Agreements in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Agreement', was released for comments on April 17.
Originally composed of Brunei, Chile, New Zealand and Singapore, the TPP also includes the US, Australia, Peru, Vietnam, and Malaysia. Canada, Japan and Mexico have also indicated their willingness to join the economic grouping.
"The agreement is not finished, so there is still the possibility of a breakthrough in the talks. However, after two years of negotiations in goods, the prospect for an agreement that matches the rhetoric of no exceptions does not look bright," Elms says in the paper.
She points out that the countries under the TPP already have existing multilateral and bilateral agreements, wherein issues on goods trade have already been discussed.
"These deals are the result of carefully crafted compromises at the time of negotiation in each agreement. Any decision on how to negotiate in the TPP would run the risk of upsetting the existing PTA preferences," she notes.
She also highlights challenges in drafting tariff schedules for goods that would be included in the agreement by member countries.
She says TPP members have three options: to have a single schedule that would apply to all countries; to have each country prepare its own market access schedule following negotiations with others; or to combine the two options and have a uniform schedule for tariff reductions for non-sensitive products and separate schedules for sensitive ones.
But she also says: "There are nearly 6,000 tariff lines corresponding to trade in goods. For the nine countries in TPP (except for Singapore which has tariffs at zero on all products except for six lines) the starting point varies tremendously."
She also points out difficulties in opening the markets in new non-agricultural areas. Apparel, for instance, is a sensitive issue between the US and Vietnam, with Hanoi currently facing "a bewildering array of tariffs and exports" to Washington for textile, apparel and footwear exporters.
"Tariff levels of rubber footwear were as high as 37.5 per cent in May 2011," she notes.
"Vietnamese officials would like to see these complicated tariffs reduced. Up until now, most of these textile, apparel and footwear tariffs have not been addressed in American PTA negotiations."
As for market access for agricultural products, Elms notes that negotiations on "extremely sensitive items" under other trade agreements have resulted in the exclusion of certain highly sensitive items as well as the reduction, but not the elimination, of their tariffs.
She also states that other restrictive methods employed by countries were to allow high tariff peaks to remain, or subject these products to extremely long phase-in periods. In addition, countries can use a range of quantitative restrictions that are not generally allowed in other products.
"A high-quality, 21st century TPP with no exceptions should, as far as possible, avoid all these elements," she says.
The paper also raises issues on goods' rules of origin which must distinguish whether they are from TPP member countries.
"The rules must also be capable of distinguishing goods that are not from members to ensure that these non-originating goods are not eligible for the benefits of the agreement.
If these rules of origin were not put into place, any firm from any country could take advantage of any PTA," she states.
The Brunei Times